Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.236752 0.272350 0.310609 0.354681 0.403942 0.457195 0.519009
2026-02-01 0.177241 0.224698 0.279852 0.348246 0.430303 0.525090 0.642332
2026-02-08 0.135769 0.189021 0.255681 0.344173 0.457351 0.595947 0.777031
2026-02-15 0.104505 0.159463 0.233361 0.337958 0.479827 0.662929 0.914027
2026-02-22 0.084833 0.141123 0.222010 0.343357 0.516764 0.751058 1.085974
2026-03-01 0.067221 0.121920 0.205838 0.339004 0.538934 0.820822 1.239401
2026-03-08 0.054847 0.108045 0.194853 0.339931 0.567720 0.901331 1.413595
2026-03-15 0.043852 0.093934 0.180849 0.333674 0.584199 0.964592 1.567337
2026-03-22 0.038180 0.088006 0.179202 0.346609 0.631098 1.076101 1.799528
2026-03-29 0.033466 0.082810 0.177824 0.359442 0.678548 1.191491 2.044993
2026-04-05 0.028251 0.075338 0.170929 0.361384 0.707504 1.279250 2.252812
2026-04-12 0.023714 0.068193 0.163359 0.360816 0.731545 1.360104 2.454063
2026-04-19 0.019753 0.061431 0.155531 0.358922 0.753372 1.439524 2.659489
2026-04-26 0.016549 0.055651 0.148729 0.358033 0.776721 1.522930 2.876541
2026-05-03 0.013910 0.050583 0.142556 0.357487 0.800412 1.608253 3.101664
2026-05-10 0.011514 0.045442 0.135225 0.353386 0.816570 1.680945 3.308962
2026-05-17 0.010071 0.042712 0.133200 0.360515 0.855429 1.796903 3.597849
2026-05-24 0.008380 0.038591 0.126855 0.356952 0.871995 1.872501 3.818871
2026-05-31 0.007159 0.035634 0.122980 0.358551 0.899259 1.969599 4.083405
2026-06-07 0.005880 0.031938 0.116299 0.352406 0.909228 2.033924 4.290942
2026-06-14 0.005366 0.031073 0.117596 0.366219 0.963874 2.188219 4.672784
2026-06-21 0.004897 0.030221 0.118772 0.379840 1.019104 2.346576 5.069325
2026-06-28 0.004217 0.028136 0.115724 0.381990 1.048396 2.454514 5.374883